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Table No. 5
Seasonal Variations in Tourist Flows 1995 through 2004
(000 Nos)
Month
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
January
34.9 30.5 28.4 31.7 36.9 45.0 50.1 30.7 38.9 49.9
February 28.0 26.1 22.7 35.5 35.3 41.3 54.1 31.5 32.0 53.0
March
27.1 33.5 29.4 38.1 38.1 46.4 55.5 37.5 33.5 57.9
April
26.7 32.1 32.4 36.7 37.1 43.6 49.5 34.1 32.8 48.0
May
28.4 32.7 29.7 29.7 28.7 39.9 44.2 33.7 30.2 44.3
June
29.6 27.3 33.0 29.3 33.3 44.3 41.1 36.2 43.9 57.7
July
32.1 28.0 33.0 43.1 38.6 56.3 42.9 50.3 65.4 72.1
August
32.7 31.3 34.1 43.1 33.9 46.7 41.1 47.5 44.5 53.4
September 29.7 21.8 30.9 30.6 33.7 42.2 33.9 49.7 50.4 46.5
October
31.1 30.8 37.0 38.0 33.8 53.0 26.3 51.3 44.3 34.8
November 35.6 37.1 33.5 39.5 46.4 47.4 26.5 40.6 42.6 54.8
December 42.5 37.5 30.7 33.5 36.4 50.7 34.5 55.0 42.4 75.6
Total
378.4 368.7 374.8 428.8 432.2 556.8 499.7 498.1 500.9 648.0
Monthly
Average
31.5 30.7 31.2 35.7 36.0 46.4 41.6 41.5 41.7 54.0
Seasonality
Ratio
1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.4
Co-efficient
of seasonal
variation
13.2 14.0 11.0 13.0 11.3 10.7 22.6 20.1 22.3 20.0
Source:
FIA, Ministry of Interior, Government of Pakistan, Islamabad.


The above Table shows that during 2004, December was the highest
arrivals month, whereas the lowest arrivals month was October. The
seasonality ratio shows the relationship between the highest months and the
average of all month arrivals. It was 1.4 in 2004, which is lower than the ratio
of 2003 which was 1.6. A better measure of seasonality is the one that
would take into account all variations between arrivals in a particular month
and average arrivals of the year. The smaller the co-efficient, the greater is
the evenness in monthly arrivals. During 2004, co-efficient of seasonal
variation was 20.0 percent.



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