A Country Study: Pakistan
Library of Congress Call Number DS376.9 .P376 1995
PAKISTAN
a country study
Federal Research Division
Library of Congress
Edited by
Peter Blood
Research Completed April 1994
Foreword
This volume is one in a continuing series of books prepared by the Federal Research Division of the Library of Congress under the Country Studies/Area Handbook Program sponsored by the Department of the Army. The last two pages of this book list the other published studies.
Most books in the series deal with a particular foreign country, describing and analyzing its political, economic, social, and national security systems and institutions, and examining the interrelationships of those systems and the ways they are shaped by cultural factors. The authors seek to provide a basic understanding of the observed society, striving for a dynamic rather than a static portrayal. Particular attention is devoted to the people who make up the society, their origins, dominant beliefs and values, their common interests and the issues on which they are divided, the nature and extent of their involvement with national institutions, and their attitudes toward each other and toward their social system and political order.
The books represent the analysis of the authors and should not be construed as an expression of an official United States government position, policy, or decision. The authors have sought to adhere to accepted standards of scholarly objectivity. Corrections, additions, and suggestions for changes from readers will be welcomed for use in future editions.
Louis R. Mortimer
Chief
Federal Research Division
Library of Congress
Washington, D.C. 20540-5220
Data as of April 1994
Acknowledgments
The authors wish to acknowledge the contributions of the writers of the 1983 edition of Pakistan: A Country Study, edited by Richard F. Nyrop. Portions of their work were incorporated into this volume.
The authors are also grateful to individuals in various United States government agencies and diplomatic and private institutions who shared their time, research materials, and expertise about Pakistan. Special thanks are owed to the Embassy of Pakistan in Washington; to Anne T. Sweetser for her helpful comments on Pakistani society and culture; and to Mustapha Kamal Pasha at the American University and Barbara Leitch LePoer at the Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress, for their insightful comments on various parts of the manuscript. Thanks are also given to Ralph K. Benesch, who oversees the Country Studies/Area Handbook Program for the Department of the Army.
The authors also wish to thank members of the Federal Research Division staff who contributed directly to the preparation of the manuscript. These people include Sandra W. Meditz, who reviewed all drafts and served as liaison with the sponsoring agency; Robert L. Worden and Andrea M. Savada, who reviewed each chapter and made numerous suggestions and points of clarification; Ilona Peterson, who provided current information about AIDS in Pakistan; David P. Cabitto, who provided graphics support; Marilyn L. Majeska, who managed editing and edited portions of the manuscript; Alberta J. King, who provided bibliographic assistance; Andrea T. Merrill, who managed production; and Barbara Edgerton and Izella Watson, who did the word processing.
Also involved in preparing the text were Sheila Ross, who edited the chapters; Catherine Schwartzstein, who performed the prepublication editorial review; Joan C. Cook, who compiled the index; and Janie L. Gilchrist, David P. Cabitto, and Stephen C. Cranton, who prepared the camera-ready copy.
Harriett R. Blood prepared the topography and drainage map; other maps and charts were prepared by Maryland Mapping and Graphics. Meg Blood designed the illustrations for the cover and the title page of each chapter.
Finally, the authors acknowledge the generosity of the individuals and the public and private agencies who allowed their photographs to be used in this study.
Preface
This edition supersedes the second edition of Pakistan: A Country Study, published in 1983 under the editorship of Richard F. Nyrop. Like its predecessor, the present book is an attempt to treat in a compact and objective manner the dominant historical, social, economic, political, and national security aspects of contemporary Pakistan. Sources of information included scholarly books, journals, and monographs; official reports and documents of governments and international organizations; foreign and domestic newspapers and periodicals; and interviews with individuals with special competence in South Asian affairs. Relatively up-to-date economic data were available from several sources, but the sources were not always in agreement. Most demographic data should be viewed as well-informed estimates.
Chapter bibliographies appear at the end of the book; brief comments on some of the more valuable sources for further reading appear at the conclusion of each chapter. Measurements are given in the metric system; a conversion table is provided to assist readers unfamiliar with the metric system (see table 1, Appendix). For the convenience of the reader, a brief chronology of the major eras and events of South Asian and Pakistani history is included (see Table A.
The transliteration of various words and phrases posed a problem. For many words of Arabic origin--such as Muslim, Quran, and zakat--the authors followed a modified version of the system adopted by the United States Board on Geographic Names. In numerous instances, however, the authors adhered to the spelling used by the government and people of Pakistan. There is thus some variance in spellings: for example, the Prophet Muhammad, but Mohammad Ali Jinnah and Agha Mohammad Ayub Khan. The reader should also note that the term Khan, which appears with numerous names (for example, Ayub Khan, Ghaffar Khan, and Yahya Khan), is an honorific and is almost never a surname.
The body of the text reflects information available as of April 1994. Certain other portions of the text, however, have been updated. The Introduction discusses significant events that have occurred since the completion of research, and the Country Profile includes updated information as available.
February 2005
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COUNTRY
Formal Name: Islamic Republic of Pakistan.
Short Form: Pakistan.
Term for Citizen(s): Pakistani(s).
Capital: Islamabad (Islamabad Capital Territory).
Major Cities: Pakistan has seven cities with a population
of 1 million or more: Karachi (9,339,023), Lahore (5,143,495),
Faisalabad (2,008,861), Rawalpindi (1,409,768), Multan
(1,197,384), Hyderabad (1,166,894), and Gujranwala (1,132,509).
Independence: Proclaimed August 14, 1947, from Britain.
Public Holidays: Eid-ul-Azha (Feast of the Sacrifice of Abraham, movable date);
Muharram
(Islamic New Year, movable date); Kashmir Day (February 5); Ashura (movable
date); Pakistan
Day (signing of first constitution and proclamation of the republic, March 23);
Labour Day (May
1); Eid-i-Milad-un-Nabi (Birthday of the Prophet Muhammad, movable date);
Independence Day
(August 14); Ramadan commencement (movable date); Iqbal Day (Birthday of
Muhammad
Iqbal, November 9); Eid-ul-Fitr (end of Ramadan, movable date); Birthday of
Quaid-i-Azam
Mohammad Ali Jinnah and Christmas (December 25). Muslim holidays are observed
nationally,
and Christian holidays are elective for Christians only.
Flag:
Pakistan’s flag is green with a narrow vertical white band on its left side.
A white crescent and star are in the center of the green band. Green
signifies the Muslim majority, white denotes minorities, the crescent
represents progress, and the star symbolizes light and knowledge.
HISTORICAL BACKGROUND
Early Empires: Existing archaeological evidence suggests that humans lived in
what became
Pakistan around 2.2 million years ago, and the first civilization in South Asia,
the Harappan
Civilization, is believed to have started around 3000 B.C. in the Indus River
valley. Indus
civilizations maintained irrigated agriculture, had contact with the Middle East
and North Africa,
and endured until around 1750 B.C., when nomadic tribes from Central Asia called
Aryans
conquered much of the Indus Valley. The Aryans maintained a system of social
stratification
based on inherited occupation and physical separation of themselves from
native peoples, and
this system was justified religiously in scripts called Vedas that form the
basis of Hinduism.
By 326 B.C., Chandra Gupta Maurya established the first empire in South Asia,
but it was his
grandson, Ashoka, who led the Mauryan Empire to political prominence around 200
B.C. In the
following centuries, various powers exercised control in the subcontinent,
although most only
temporarily maintained dominance over particular regions. From A.D. 320–550, the
Gupta
Empire controlled much of the subcontinent with the assistance of locally based
intermediaries.
Around 711, Arab general Muhammad bin Qasim introduced Islam into Sindh, and by
the tenth
century, Islam was further promoted by Turkish sultan Mahmud of Ghazni, who
controlled
Punjab. By the thirteenth century, a succession of Turkic rulers known as the
Mughals ruled
most of the Indian subcontinent, and their influence on architecture, cuisine,
and language
endures to the twenty-first century. However, Mughal rule eventually suffered
from numerous
difficulties related to controlling a large land area with distinct economies
and cultures. One
notable challenge to Mughal rule came from Sikh rulers who took control of the
Punjabi capital
Lahore in 1761. The Sikh ruler, Ranjit Singh, eventually controlled vast areas
of Punjab by 1818
and Kashmir by 1819, but after Singh’s death in 1840, infighting and
factionalism among Sikh
leaders led to the gradual disintegration of their holdings into small
principalities. The British
took advantage of the dissipation of Sikh power and ended Sikh rule by 1849.
European Influence: Although European contact with South Asia began in 1498 with
the
Portuguese, by the early 1800s the British had emerged as the preeminent
political and economic
power in much of the subcontinent. British dominance was far from complete, with
at best
tenuous control over what are now Pakistan’s western provinces. The British East
India
Company initially administered most of the Indian subcontinent, but the
Indian-led Sepoy
Rebellion of 1857 seriously challenged British occupation and caused the British
government to
administer India directly. This near defeat for the British prompted changes in
their
administration of the subcontinent and in their attitudes toward Indians,
particularly Muslims.
Prior to 1857, Muslims were prominent in economics and administration, and
Muslim leaders are
believed to have led the Sepoy Rebellion to regain the political and economic
advantages
enjoyed under Mughal rule. The British responded by dropping Urdu and Persian as
official
languages and replacing them with English, thus rendering many Muslims
functionally illiterate
and unemployable. The British also placed Hindus in many positions previously
occupied by
Muslims. As a result, Muslims perceived Hindus as opportunistic accomplices to
the British
oppression of Muslims, and this impression would endure for decades.
Independence Movement: Muhammad Iqbal conceived the concept of a Muslim homeland
called Pakistan (“Land of the Pure”) in the 1920s, but the establishment of
Pakistan was most
advanced by Mohammad Ali Jinnah, a Bombay lawyer who proved to be a shrewd
leader of the
Muslim League political party. Jinnah claimed that India contained two nations,
one Hindu and
one Muslim, and that Muslims could not safely exist in a Hindu-dominated India.
The degree to
which Jinnah’s objectives were motivated by religion is still debated, but his
ideas resonated
with Muslims who felt politically, economically, and socially discriminated
against and with
Muslims having theological interests in an Islamic state. At various times, the
Muslim League
acted independently of other groups and in shifting alliances with the colonial
administration and
the Congress Party of Mohandas Karamchand Gandhi. Nevertheless, its objective
was always the
establishment of an independent Muslim homeland.
World War II and widespread resistance to British rule in India created burdens
that the British
found too costly to bear, and in July 1947 the British announced their intention
to withdraw from
India. Pakistan was born as a bifurcated state in August 1947, divided by 1,600
kilometers of
Indian soil and by economic and social divisions between a largely Bengali East
Wing and a
heavily Punjabi and Sindhi West Wing. The country also faced problems with
absorbing millions
of Muslim refugees from India, addressing substantial poverty, and establishing
both a
functioning government and a sense of national unity over a geographically and
ethnically
divided state. Just as daunting were the deficit of administrative personnel and
limited material
assets that curtailed the country’s capacity to address its difficulties.
Post-Independence and Civil War: The influential founding fathers, Mohammad Ali
Jinnah
and Liaquat Ali Khan, had passed away by 1951, and their deaths were ominous
precursors to
the subsequent series of short-lived governments that changed just as often by
military coup as
by election. Pakistan was initially governed by a Constituent Assembly
responsible for drafting a
constitution and issuing legislation until the constitution went into force.
However, the
constitution’s drafting was delayed by disagreements over how different regions
would be
represented and how the state would embody Islamic principles. Legislative
paralysis prompted
Governor General Ghulam Mohammad to dismiss the Constituent Assembly in 1954.
This action
is now seen as the beginning of “viceregal” politics in Pakistan, in which the
military and civil
bureaucracy, not elected officials, govern the country and maintain substantial
influence over
society and the provinces. A new Constituent Assembly wrote the first
constitution in 1956 and
reconstituted itself as the Legislative Assembly. However, regional rivalries
between East and
West Pakistan and ethnic and religious tensions threatened political stability,
and on October 7,
1958, President Iskander Mirza disbanded the Legislative Assembly. Later that
month, Mirza
himself was overthrown by General Mohammad Ayub Khan.
Ayub Khan saw himself as a reformer who would bring much-needed stability to the
country,
and he started by establishing a system of local governments called Basic
Democracies for
communities to have meaningful input into politics. But Ayub quickly lost
interest and turned
toward the civil bureaucracy for policy advice and formation. A new constitution
was
promulgated in 1962, and it established a weak legislature (the National
Assembly) and a
president with substantial legislative, executive, and financial powers.
Possibly the most notable event of Ayub’s tenure was a 17-day war with India in
1965 over the
nagging Kashmir dispute. Pakistan argued that under the terms of the 1947
partition, Muslim-
dominant areas of the subcontinent should become part of Pakistan and claimed
that India had
pressured the Hindu ruler of Kashmir to accede to India at the time of
partition, ostensibly
against the wishes of the largely Muslim population. The 1965 war had the
unintended
consequences of interrupting impressive economic growth and deflating the
military’s
confidence in its own abilities. Amid worsening societal and political problems,
substantial
popular opposition, and his own declining health, Ayub Khan resigned in 1969.
Subsequently, General Agha Mohammad Yahya Khan became president and chief
martial law
administrator, and he attempted to reinstitute parliamentary democracy. However,
festering
tensions over representation in the National Assembly led to civil war between
East and West
Pakistan in 1971. With Indian assistance, East Pakistan seceded and became the
independent
nation of Bangladesh. At the same time, India and West Pakistan fought another
17-day war,
mostly in West Pakistan, which ended in a cease-fire agreement. Largely as a
result of Pakistan’s
military losses, Yahya resigned in 1971, and Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto was appointed
president,
becoming the first civilian head of government in nearly two decades.
Emergence of Civilian Rule: Bhutto lifted martial law, and a new constitution
came into effect
in August 1973. The constitution was heavily concerned with the role of Islam,
the distribution
of power between the federal and provincial governments, and the division of
responsibilities
between the president and prime minister, the latter assuming greater authority
than before.
Bhutto nationalized numerous industries, and the government’s heavy involvement
in the
economy would have enduring economic repercussions. The country appeared to be
democratizing, but political opposition grew against Bhutto’s repression of
political opponents
and alleged voting irregularities. In July 1977, Bhutto was overthrown, and
General Mohammad
Zia ul-Haq became chief martial law administrator. Bhutto eventually was
sentenced to death on
charges of conspiring to murder a political opponent and was executed in 1979.
Martial Law and Islamization: Zia adapted the structure of Ayub Khan’s Basic
Democracies to
a new system of local governments and also adopted various measures to create an
Islamic state.
When the Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan in 1979, Pakistan became the recipient
of numerous
Afghan refugees and large-scale foreign aid from the United States, China, Saudi
Arabia, and
others. The refugees and financial assistance continued until the war’s end in
1989.
Zia officially terminated martial law in 1985 by assuming the presidency and
reinstating the
1973 constitution. However, he also added the Eighth Amendment, which empowered
the
president to appoint and dismiss the prime minister and provincial governors and
to dissolve the
national and provincial legislatures. When Zia died in an airplane crash in
August 1988, Benazir
Bhutto—head of the Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) and daughter of Zulfiqar Ali
Bhutto—
became prime minister. Pakistan thus became the first Muslim country with a
female head of
government.
The Restoration of Civilian Government: Bhutto’s government was plagued by
ethnic
conflict, severe economic problems, and a lack of legislative support. In
October 1990, Mian
Nawaz Sharif, leader of the Islamic Democratic Alliance (IDA), became prime
minister and
faced the same problems that troubled Bhutto. In 1993 Bhutto’s PPP won the
National
Assembly, and she once again became prime minister. However, in 1996 President
Farooq
Leghari dismissed Bhutto on charges of corruption, and in 1997 Nawaz Sharif
replaced her.
In 1998 India conducted nuclear tests, and two weeks later Pakistan reacted by
detonating five
nuclear devices. Many countries responded with condemnation and sanctions, but
Pakistan felt
that it finally possessed sufficient deterrent force against its perennial
rival, India. Deterrence
failed to hold, however, and in October 1999 India and Pakistan engaged in a
limited conflict
(the Kargil War), which Pakistan was widely seen as precipitating because of its
suspected
support of militants who entered Indian-held Kashmir from Pakistani-held
Kashmir. The conflict
proved to be embarrassing for the government, and, with the economy suffering
tremendously,
General Pervez Musharraf overthrew Nawaz Sharif in late October 1999.
Return to Military Rule: Musharraf became both president and chief of army
staff, and he
further consolidated his power through various legal measures. After the
September 11, 2001,
terrorist attacks in the United States, Musharraf’s government benefited from an
infusion of
economic and military aid, because Pakistan is seen as an important ally in the
war on terrorism.
However, Pakistan was widely suspected of complicity in a terrorist attack on
India’s parliament
in December 2001. In an April 2002 national referendum, Musharraf’s tenure as
president was
extended to 2007. In late 2004, Musharraf reneged on a previous commitment to
relinquish his
position as chief of army staff, much to the chagrin of many secular and
religious political
parties, who demanded that elections be held in early 2005.
In 2005 Pakistan continued to face many of the same problems that have plagued
the country
since its inception: government instability, tense relations with India, ethnic
tensions, political
divisions among provinces, economic dependence on international aid, and weak
prospects for
democracy. However, Pakistan’s government continued to survive and society to
endure in spite
of such difficulties, occasionally exhibiting remarkable flexibility and
resilience. Indeed, it is
often difficult to tell if Pakistan is on the precipice of disintegration or on
the verge of renewal.
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GEOGRAPHY
Location: Located in South Asia, Pakistan borders Iran to
the southwest, Afghanistan to the west and north, China to
the northeast, and India to the east. The Arabian Sea marks
Pakistan’s southern boundary.
Size: Pakistan’s exact size is debated because of its disputed
border with India. According to the United Nations and the
Pakistan government, the country has a total area of 796,095
square kilometers. This figure, however, does not include the
Pakistan-administered portions of Jammu and Kashmir (known
as Azad Kashmir and the Northern Areas, with areas of 11,639
square kilometers and 72,520 square kilometers, respectively). These areas are
claimed by
Pakistan, but because their possession is disputed, they are not included in
official land area
statistics.
Land Boundaries: Pakistan shares borders with Afghanistan (2,430 kilometers),
China (523
kilometers), India (2,912 kilometers), and Iran (909 kilometers).
Disputed Territory: Afghanistan disputes the legitimacy of its border with
Pakistan, and at
times Afghanistan’s governments have argued that all Pashtun (Pakhtun) territory
in Afghanistan
and Pakistan should be under Afghan control. Pakistan and India have disputed
possession of
Jammu and Kashmir since 1947, and the issue remains unresolved despite numerous
cease-fire
agreements between the two countries. Jammu and Kashmir is split between the
two countries by
a United Nations-monitored border called the Line of Control.
Length of Coastline: Pakistan’s coastline totals 1,064 kilometers along the
Arabian Sea.
Maritime Claims: Under the 1982 United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea,
Pakistan
claims a 200-nautical-mile exclusive economic zone, a 12-nautical-mile
territorial sea, and a 24-
nautical-mile contiguous zone for security, immigration, customs, and other
matters.
Topography: Pakistan has a diverse array of landscapes spread among nine major
ecological
zones. Its territory encompasses portions of the Himalaya, Hindu Kush, and
Karakoram
mountain ranges, making it home to some of the world’s highest mountains,
including K2, which
at 8,611 meters above sea level is the world’s second highest peak.
Intermountain valleys make
up much of the North-West Frontier Province, and rugged plateaus cover much of
Balochistan
Province in the west. In the east, expansive, irrigated plains along the Indus
River cover much of
of Punjab and Sindh provinces, which have deserts as well (Cholistan in Punjab,
Thar in Sindh).
Principal Rivers: The main rivers are the Indus (2,749 kilometers within
Pakistan) and its
tributaries: the Chenab (730.6 kilometers), Ravi (680.6 kilometers), Jhelum
(611.3 kilometers),
and Sutlej (530.6 kilometers). The navigable portions of these rivers are
generally small and
unconnected as a result of seasonal variations in water flows and the presence
of substantial
irrigation structures.
Climate: Most of Pakistan has a generally dry climate and receives less than 250
millimeters of
rain per year, although northern and southern areas have noticeable climatic
differences. The
average annual temperature is around 27°C, but temperatures vary with elevation
from –30°C to
–10°C during the coldest months in mountainous and northern areas of
Pakistan-administered
Kashmir to 50°C in the warmest months in parts of Punjab, Sindh, and the
Balochistan Plateau.
Mid-December to March is dry and cool; April to June is hot, with 25 to 50
percent relative
humidity; July to September is the wet monsoon season; and October-November is
the dry post-
monsoon season, with hot temperatures nationwide.
Natural Resources: Economically important natural resources include arable land,
chromite,
coal, copper, fireclay, gypsum, iron, limestone, oil, natural gas, rock salt,
and silica sand.
Land Use: More than 40 percent of the working population is employed in
agriculture, yet the
per capita amount of agricultural land is declining, and there are significant
natural limitations to
increasing the quantity of arable land. According to official statistics for
2004, the country’s total
land area is 79.6 million hectares, but only 59.3 million hectares have been
surveyed. Out of the
surveyed land area, 24.6 million hectares are classified as not available for
cultivation, 3.6
million hectares are forest area, and 9.2 million hectares are unused but
believed to be cultivable.
Approximately 22 million hectares are used for cultivation, of which nearly 16
million hectares
are actually sown, with the remainder left fallow. About 13.5 million hectares
of the sown area
are irrigated, and 6.5 million hectares are sown more than once per year. Most
cultivable and
irrigated land is located in the eastern provinces of Punjab and Sindh around
the Indus River and its tributaries. Pakistan has an extensive but inefficient
canal system for irrigation, and much of
the crop area is rain fed, but precipitation tends to be unevenly distributed
throughout the year.
Environmental Factors: Numerous environmental problems threaten the economy and
the
population’s health, and there is little indication of their abatement. A 1997
World Bank study
estimated the annual cost of Pakistan’s environmental problems at US$1.8 billion
in health
expenditures, reduced labor productivity, and other costs. The availability of
natural resources is
limited by the dry climate and mountainous terrain, substantial population
growth is increasing
pressure on the resource base, and resource management has suffered from the
emphasis on rapid
economic growth and often-unregulated forms of economic productivity. As a
result, human
transformation of the environment is manifest in several problems. Population
growth and poor
water infrastructure have reduced per capita water availability from 53,000
cubic meters to 1,200
cubic meters, and heavy reliance on firewood has contributed to the world’s
second highest rate
of deforestation. Poor agricultural practices have led to soil erosion,
groundwater degradation,
and other problems that have hindered crop output and contributed to health
problems for rural
communities. Solid waste burning, low-quality fuels, and the growing use of
fuel-inefficient
motor vehicles have contributed to air pollution that in some cities—such as
Islamabad, Lahore,
and Rawalpindi—has exceeded levels deemed safe by the World Health Organization.
The government has expressed concern about environmental threats to economic
growth and
social development and, since the early 1990s, has addressed environmental
concerns with new
legislation and institutions such as the Pakistan Environment Protection
Council. Yet, foreign
lenders provide most environmental protection funds, and only 0.04 percent of
the government’s
development budget goes to environmental protection. Thus, the government’s
ability to enforce
environmental regulations is limited, and private industries often lack funds to
meet
environmental standards established by international trade organizations.
Time Zone: Pakistan is in a single time zone, Greenwich Mean Time plus 5.5
hours.
SOCIETY
Population: Pakistan has a large, mostly rural population with a high rate of
growth. The
government estimates the population at 152.8 million as of December 2004, not
including 1.2
million refugees from Afghanistan (2002 estimate). From 1981 to 1998, population
growth
averaged nearly 2.7 percent annually. If this growth rate continues, the
population will double
approximately every 26 years. According to Pakistan’s 1998 census, the overall
population
density was 166.3 persons per square kilometer, but provincial population
densities range from
18.9 in Balochistan to 358.5 in Punjab. Furthermore, the population is clustered
in the eastern
provinces of Punjab and Sindh, which contain 78.6 percent of the total
population. According to
the 1998 census, 67.5 percent of the population lived in rural areas. Only Sindh
had roughly
equal rural and urban populations (51.2 percent and 48.8 percent, respectively).
Demography: Pakistan’s fast-growing population has a substantial proportion of
youths. In
2004, 40.2 percent of the population was aged 14 or younger, 55.7 percent was
15–64 years of
age, and only 4.1 percent of the population was 65 and older. According to
Pakistan government statistics, 52 percent of the population is male. In 2000
Pakistan’s crude birthrate was 29.1 births
per 1,000, and the total fertility rate was 4.3 births per woman. The infant
mortality rate was 79.8
deaths per 1,000 live births, and the crude death rate was 7.8 deaths per 1,000.
Life expectancy at
birth was 64 years for males and 66 years for females.
Ethnic Groups: Ethnic groups in Pakistan generally are categorized according to
various
combinations of religion, language, and sometimes tribe. Punjabis are the
largest linguistic group
(44.2 percent of the population) and often are divided into three occupational
castes: Rajputs,
Jats, and Arains. Pakhtuns (15.4 percent) are the dominant ethnic group in the
North-West
Frontier Province, but Pakhtuns belong to different tribes or kinship groups and
have no central
governing authority. Sindhis (14.1 percent) are dominant in Sindh and are
divided into
occupational and caste groupings. Balochis (3.6 percent) are dominant in
Balochistan and are
divided into various eastern and western tribes. Other ethnolinguistic groups
include the Siraikis,
who live mostly in Punjab; Urdu-speaking Muhajirs, refugees from India and their
descendants
who migrated to Pakistan during the 1947 partition and are concentrated in Sindh;
and Brahuis, a
Dravidian language group in Sindh and Balochistan.
Languages: Urdu is the national language and the language of most print media.
English has
official status and often is regarded as the language of the elite and upwardly
mobile. Urdu and
English often are used in government and business. Punjabi is the most common
language,
spoken by 44.2 percent of the population, followed by Pakhtu (15.2 percent),
Sindhi (14.1
percent), Siraiki (10.5 percent), Urdu (7.8 percent), and Balochi (3.8 percent).
Smaller linguistic
groups include the Hindko in the North-West Frontier Province, the
Farsi-speaking Hazaras of
Balochistan, and the Brahuis in Sindh and Balochistan. Language often
articulates ethnic
identity, and provincial boundaries are linguistically based. Urdu has been
promoted as a means
of unifying ethnic groups, but it is the mother tongue of only the Muhajirs.
Furthermore, many
groups perceive the establishment of Urdu as the national language as
threatening to their
employment potential, political participation, and ethnic identity.
Religion: The overwhelming majority of the population (96.3 percent) is Muslim,
of whom
approximately 95 percent are Sunni and 5 percent Shia. Sunnis and Shias are
subdivided into
numerous sects. Approximately 1.6 percent of the population is Hindu, 1.6
percent is Christian,
and 0.3 percent belongs to other religions, such as Bahaism and Sikhism. Some
0.2 percent of the
population is Ahmadiyya (also known as Qadiani), a small but influential sect
that maintains
some Islamic beliefs but is considered heretical by orthodox Muslims and is not
recognized as
Muslim by Pakistani law.
The country was founded to promote religious freedom, and the constitution
guarantees freedom
of religion. However, Islam is the state religion, and the constitution states
that religious practice
is “subject to law, public order, and morality.” The government also has Islamic
institutions such
as the Federal Shariat Court and the Council of Islamic Ideology, which advise
politicians on the
congruence of legislation with Islamic injunctions. It is debatable whether the
government has
established such institutions for religious or political reasons, but the
government has promoted
Islam as a means of unifying numerous ethnic groups. Nevertheless, political,
economic, and
religious differences have been manifested in occasionally violent conflicts
between religious
communities, particularly between Sunni and Shia militias.
Education and Literacy: Pakistan has low indicators of educational
attainment, and education
has been underfunded for decades. According to the 1998 census, 43.9 percent of
those aged 10
or older were literate, but the literacy rate was higher for males (54.8
percent) than for females
(32.0 percent). The 2003 estimates for literacy were 45.7 percent for those 15
years of age and
older (59.8 percent for males and 30.6 percent for females). The country’s
enrollment rate for
those aged 5 to 24 is 36 percent (41.2 percent for males, 30.4 percent for
females), and literacy
and enrollment rates tend to be higher in urban areas. In 2001 the government
announced plans
to institute universal primary education by 2010 and 78 percent literacy by
2011. However, more
than 50 percent of the funds for this initiative are expected to come from
international donors.
During the 1980s and most of the 1990s, public expenditures on education
averaged 2.5 percent
of gross domestic product (GDP), but have fallen to less than 2 percent of GDP
since 1998. Of
the fiscal year (FY) 2004 budget’s current expenditures, US$161.1 million—1.4
percent—was
allocated to education, as was US$201.6 million—1.7 percent—of the FY 2005
budget.
Free primary education is a constitutional right and is compulsory in every
province except
Balochistan. The education system is designed for 12 years of schooling, with
five years in
primary school, three in middle school, and four in high school. According to
2001 government
figures, the system included 147,736 primary schools, 25,472 middle-level
schools, 15,416 high
schools and vocational institutions, 352 professional colleges, and 26
universities. In addition to
public and private schools, an indeterminate number of mosque-administered
madrassas provide
free room, board, and theological education, which makes them an attractive
option for poor
families. Some madrassas are suspected of having links to religious militants,
prompting the
government to announce its intention of establishing greater regulation over
these institutions.
Health: Pakistan’s health indicators, health funding, and health and sanitation
infrastructure are
generally poor, particularly in rural areas. About 19 percent of the population
is malnourished—a
higher rate than the 17 percent average for developing countries—and 30 percent
of children
under age five are malnourished. Leading causes of sickness and death include
gastroenteritis,
respiratory infections, congenital abnormalities, tuberculosis, malaria, and
typhoid fever. The
United Nations estimates that in 2003 Pakistan’s human immunodeficiency virus
(HIV)
prevalence rate was 0.1 percent among those 15–49, with an estimated 4,900
deaths from
acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS). AIDS is a major health concern, and
both the
government and religious community are engaging in efforts to reduce its spread.
In 2003 there were 68 physicians for every 100,000 persons in Pakistan.
According to 2002
government statistics, there were 12,501 health institutions nationwide,
including 4,590
dispensaries, 906 hospitals with a total of 80,665 hospital beds, and 550 rural
health centers with
a total of 8,840 beds. According to the World Health Organization, Pakistan’s
total health
expenditures amounted to 3.9 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2001,
and per capita
health expenditures were US$16. The government provided 24.4 percent of total
health
expenditures, with the remainder being entirely private, out-of-pocket expenses.
Welfare: Indicators for education, health, and some other aspects of human
development have
improved since the early 1990s. According to Pakistan’s Ministry of Finance,
government
expenditures for the social sector and poverty reduction totaled roughly US$14.6
billion from
fiscal year (FY) 2000 to FY 2004. Nevertheless, poverty increased in the late
1990s, and the
country’s population growth reduced income growth. The proportion of the
population living
below the poverty line increased from 34 percent in 1991 to 44 percent by 2002,
reversing
decades of decline. Social service funding and institutions are inadequate to
address the
development problems faced by much of the Pakistani population. Provincial
governments are
responsible for providing social services but often lack the financial and
institutional resources to
do so. Most social services funding comes from the federal government and
international aid, but
corruption and institutional inefficiencies have hindered programs designed to
alleviate
unemployment, poverty, and other social ills. Furthermore, the economic,
political, and
educational opportunities of women and religious minorities have been limited by
persistent
discrimination in both government and society.
ECONOMY
Overview: Throughout the 1990s, Pakistan’s economy suffered for a number of
reasons, but
from 2002 to 2004 the economy has recovered as a result of changes in government
policies and
the resumption of international lending. Economic statistics do not reflect the
reality of the
economy, because official economic data omit the informal economy, which is
estimated to
equal about 30 percent of the formal economy. Agriculture employs the greatest
proportion of
the working population but accounts for less than 25 percent of gross domestic
product (GDP).
This discrepancy is the result of rapid growth in services and industry since
the 1980s, although
major industries, such as textiles and sugar, are heavily reliant on
agriculture.
Since independence, economic growth rates have been impressive but also have
fluctuated
widely. These fluctuations have occurred largely because successive governments
have
emphasized different sectors through changes in subsidies, regulations, and
state ownership of
industry. Furthermore, shifts in international aid and foreign capital flows
have influenced
economic growth through changes in government spending and budget deficits.
Still, from 2002
to 2004 there were surpluses in the current account, inflation was low, and
export growth was the
highest in almost a decade.
Economic liberalization and deregulation began in the early 1980s, continued
through the 1990s,
and have accelerated under the government of President Pervez Musharraf (1999–
). The
government has shifted from state ownership of many industries and heavy
regulation of the
private economy to privatization of some state industries, deregulation,
facilitation of capital
flows, and reforms of the financial system and monetary policy. Still, lax
fiscal and monetary
policies, infrastructural deficiencies, a poorly developed human resource base,
and persistent
market distortions that benefit a small elite of landowners, industrialists, and
others undercut
economic potential.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)/Power Purchasing Parity (PPP): According to World
Bank
data, in 2003 Pakistan’s GDP was US$68.6 billion, gross national income (GNI)
per capita was
US$430, and PPP per capita was US$2,060. GDP grew an average of 5.4 percent
annually from
1961 to 2003, but average annual GDP growth from 1993 to 2003 was lower, at 3.4
percent.
Similarly, per capita GDP grew at an annual average of 2.6 percent from 1961 to
2003 and 0.9
percent from 1993 to 2003. From 1974 to 2004, agriculture’s proportion of GDP
declined from
35 to 23 percent, whereas the proportion created by services increased from
43 percent to 52
percent, and industry and manufacturing increased slightly from 22 percent to 25
percent.
Government Budget: In fiscal year (FY) 2004, Pakistan’s total expenditures were
US$16.0
billion, and total revenues were US$13.1 billion, both higher than in previous
years. The federal
budget has two components: the development budget for capital investment and
development
programs and the ordinary budget covering current expenditures such as defense
and debt
servicing. In FY 2004 current expenditures accounted for 82.9 percent of total
expenditures.
Debt servicing accounted for 21.1 percent of overall expenditures, defense for
18.0 percent, and
development programs for 15.9 percent. During the 1990s and early 2000s, current
expenditures
were approximately 80 percent of planned spending, with debt servicing and
defense accounting,
respectively, for 35 percent and 25 percent of all expenditures. Provinces have
their own budgets
and limited tax powers, but about 25 percent of the federal budget is
distributed to provincial
governments to provide agricultural and social services.
From 1993 to 2003, the budget deficit declined, from 8.1 to 4.5 percent of gross
domestic
product (GDP), and current revenues increased, from 18.1 to 20.8 percent of GDP.
Historically,
tax collection has been extremely poor as a result of the corrupt, poorly
functioning tax
administration and numerous tax exemptions. In the 1990s, an estimated 80
percent of tax
revenues came from indirect sources, and only 1.1 million of the country’s
approximately 130
million people were on the tax rolls. However, from 1999 to 2004 the government
instituted
several tax reforms that reduced some tax exemptions, decreased excise taxes,
and lowered tax
rates for banks and private limited companies.
Inflation: The exact figures for inflation rates vary by source, but it is clear
that rates of inflation
declined throughout the 1990s and early 2000s. According to World Bank figures,
inflation
peaked at 25 percent in 1974, ranged from approximately 4 percent to 11 percent
in the late
1970s and 1980s, and rose to 13 percent in 1991. After 1991, inflation generally
declined to 2.4
percent in 2002 and 4.2 percent in 2003.
Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishing: According to official sources, agriculture,
livestock,
fishing, and forestry produced an estimated 23.3 percent of gross domestic
product (GDP) for FY
2004. Employment in this sector has declined as other economic sectors have
grown.
Approximately 43.1 percent of the working population was employed in
agriculture, forestry,
and fishing in 2002, down from 48.3 percent in 1992, but still the largest
proportion of the
workforce among all economic sectors.
The major crops are wheat, rice, sugarcane, and cotton. Because of the generally
arid climate and
low soil moisture, agricultural production relies heavily on irrigation, nearly
all of which is found
in the east, around the Indus River and its tributaries. Agricultural growth has
averaged around 4
percent annually since independence, and from 1947 to 2003 total food crop
production
increased from 4.7 million tons to 25.9 million tons. Substantial agricultural
growth began in the
1960s with the use of high-yielding crops, increased government prices for
crops, and subsidies
for irrigation water, fertilizer, and other inputs. By the 1980s, Pakistan had
become a net exporter
of food grains. However, by the 1990s cotton output had declined, and the
country became a net
importer of food grains as the rate of population growth continued to exceed the
rate of agricultural growth. The country’s unfulfilled agricultural potential is
often seen as the result of
the domination of large landowners, deterioration in the irrigation network,
soil degradation from
fertilizers, and poor government investment in agricultural research.
Mining and Minerals: Mining and minerals historically have been a weak economic
sector.
Since 2000 mining and quarrying have accounted annually for around 1.4 percent
of gross
domestic product (GDP) and employed an estimated 0.1 percent of the working
population.
Chromite is the only metallic ore that has been exploited on a commercial scale,
but the country
has substantial deposits of copper and iron ores as well. Pakistan also has
significant deposits of
non-metallic ores such as anhydrite, dolomite, gypsum, limestone, marble, and
rock salt.
Industry and Manufacturing: Since the mid-1960s, the industrial sector has
produced 19 to 25
percent of gross domestic product (GDP), accounting for 24.5 percent of GDP in
2004.
Manufacturing and construction dominate the industrial sector, accounting for
around 19 percent
of GDP. Since the 1980s, approximately 17 to 20 percent of the working
population has been
employed in the industrial sector (25 percent in 2004), mostly in manufacturing
and construction.
Although the industrial base has diversified since independence, the production
base depends
heavily on textiles and sugar. Manufacturing output is therefore vulnerable to
adverse weather
conditions and fluctuations in international prices for cotton and sugar.
Various liberalization
reforms have been pursued since the early 1980s but have been hindered by
substantial
corruption, frequent raw material shortages, the government’s tendency to
provide generous
concessions to particular sectors (such as sugar refining and yarn spinning),
and a burdensome
tax structure that has helped promote the development of the informal economy.
Energy: Economic growth, population growth, and rising urbanization have
increased energy
demand, much of which is met by imported energy sources because of the country’s
limited
domestic energy resources. Traditional resources, such as firewood and dung, are
commonly
used, particularly in rural areas, and the government plans to reduce firewood
consumption by
introducing solar power to rural areas. Coal has provided around 5 percent of
total domestic
energy supply for decades, but most is of poor quality and generally is used in
brick kilns.
With regard to nontraditional sources, oil and natural gas have provided around
37 to 43 percent
of total energy supplies each since the late 1970s, and the country is
attempting to expand
hydropower production. For decades, Pakistan has depended heavily on oil
imports, and in FY
2003 imported oil provided 31.6 percent of total energy supplies—at a cost of
US$3.1 billion.
Domestic oil provided 6.7 percent of total energy supplies, and domestic
recoverable petroleum
reserves have fallen to less than 50 percent of their estimated original amount.
However, natural
gas production nearly doubled to 2.7 million cubic feet per day in FY 2003,
providing 43.8
percent of the total energy supply. The government has considered pipelines that
could import
around 1.5 billion cubic feet of gas per day, but as of early 2005 these plans
were still under
review. Hydropower has declined from 17.7 percent of total energy supply in FY
1979 to 11.3
percent in FY 2003. The government is interested in reversing this trend, but
the area with the
greatest potential for hydropower expansion (the mountainous north) is difficult
to access and
would have high transmission costs. Finally, nuclear power production was meager
until the
2001 inauguration of the country’s second nuclear power facility, and nuclear
energy production
increased to 1.2 percent of total energy supply in FY 2003.
Services: The services sector accounts for about 50 percent of Pakistan’s
annual gross domestic
product (GDP). From 2000 to 2004, transportation, wholesale and retail trade,
finance, public
administration, defense, and services collectively provided about 52 percent of
GDP. Services
alone were about 9 to 10 percent of GDP. The services sector has suffered from
many of the
same problems as the industrial sector, such as political corruption and
crippling tax rates, and
sectoral growth has been limited by a dearth of educational resources and
skilled labor.
Banking and Finance: Multilateral creditors have been a major source of finance
and a major
influence on economic and social development policies. However, bilateral and
multilateral
creditors periodically have ceased lending for economic reasons, such as
government
unwillingness or inability to comply with loan conditions, or political reasons,
such as the 1998
nuclear tests and the 1999 military coup. Loans generally have resumed after the
government
agrees to loan conditions or internationally influential countries reduce their
opposition to
continued loans. In spite of inexpensive labor, a large domestic market, and
access to regional
markets, investors often are repelled by corruption, infrastructural
difficulties, and various law
and order problems in Pakistan. The government has pursued various reforms and
liberalization
measures, but domestic opposition has weakened implementation.
Domestic banking suffered in the 1990s but has shown signs of improvement from
2002 to 2004.
In the 1990s, the government borrowed heavily from the domestic banking system,
which
prevented interest rates from declining and contributed to growth in the money
supply and
subsequent inflation. In addition, major domestic manufacturers failed to honor
debts to domestic
banks. However, from 2002 to 2004 privatization and deregulation of oil, gas,
communications,
and finance led to increases in investment. Overall investment in the early
1990s was around 19
percent of gross domestic product (GDP) annually but fell to 14.7 percent of GDP
by FY 2001
and then increased to 15.5 percent of GDP by FY 2003.
Tourism: According to government statistics, the number of foreign tourists
declined throughout
the 1990s, as did earnings from foreign tourism. The number of foreign tourists
ranged from
80,000 to 180,000 from the mid-1980s to the mid-1990s but dropped to around
70,000 annually
thereafter. Pakistan receives about 6 percent of the foreign tourists who visit
South Asia. Foreign
exchange receipts from tourists peaked at US$156.5 million in 1990 but dropped
to US$117
million by the end of the 1990s. The decline in foreign tourists is believed to
be due to security
concerns and lack of government effort to attract tourists.
Labor: Labor figures are difficult to assess, partly because of the large number
of workers in the
informal economy. According to government statistics for FY 2004, 30.4 percent
of the total
population is in the official, civilian labor force, with 28.1 percent
classified as employed and 2.3
percent categorized as unemployed. Other figures put the unemployment rate at
around 19.7
percent. A much greater percentage of men (83.1 percent) than women (16.9
percent) are active
in the official civilian labor force. Agriculture, forestry, and fishing employ
the greatest
proportion of the civilian labor force (43.1 percent), followed by “community,
social, and
personal services” (15 percent), wholesale and retail trade (14.8 percent), and
manufacturing
(13.7 percent). These percentages have changed little since the 1960s. However,
the informal
economy employs the majority of workers—about 70 percent according to government
data from 1974 to 2004—with most employed in wholesale and retail trade,
manufacturing, or
“community, social, and personal services.” Child labor is regarded as a
prevalent problem.
Although the exact number of child laborers is not known, official data indicate
that 12.8 percent
of those 10 to 14 years of age are active in the official labor force.
Foreign Economic Relations: Pakistan is a member of the Asian Development Bank (ADB),
the Colombo Plan, the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC),
and the
United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP).
It has free-
trade arrangements (FTAs) with China, Sri Lanka, and the European Union, and by
the end of
2004 had sought FTAs with Mexico and the United States. Historically, political
issues have
affected Pakistan’s foreign trade and aid. In 1998 the United States and
international donors
imposed sanctions because of Pakistan’s successful nuclear tests. Those
sanctions were dropped
after the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks because the United States
regarded Pakistan as an
important ally against transnational terrorists operating out of Afghanistan.
Imports: In 2003 imports totaled US$11.3 billion, up from around US$1.2 billion
in the late
1960s. Imports of goods and services have constituted about 20 percent of gross
domestic
product (GDP) since the late 1960s, and since the early 1990s machinery,
petroleum products,
and chemicals have composed around 55 percent of imported goods. Most imports
come from
the United States, Japan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Germany, the United Kingdom, and
Malaysia.
Imports increased throughout the 1990s, at least partly because the government
reduced
maximum tariff rates from 92 percent in 1994 to 35 percent in 1999.
Exports: In 2003 exports of goods and services totaled US$10.9 billion, up from
around US$750
million in the late 1960s. Exports of goods and services have increased from
around 10 percent
of gross domestic product (GDP) in the late 1960s to 15 percent throughout the
1990s. Since the
early 1990s, primary commodity exports have fallen from about 20 percent to 10
percent of
exports, while manufactured goods have increased from 55 percent to 75 percent.
Manufactured
cotton textiles have accounted for about 60 percent of total exports since the
early 1990s, and
other manufactured goods (such as leather goods, pharmaceuticals, and sporting
goods) and
primary commodities (particularly rice) for 25 percent of exports. The primary
importers of
Pakistani goods are the United States, Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom, Hong
Kong, the
United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia. Since 2000, Pakistan has promoted
exports by rebating
import duties, sales taxes, and income taxes, and by concessional export
financing.
Trade Balance: Pakistan has had an annual trade deficit since the early 1970s.
According to
government data, the trade deficit in goods was US$1.5 billion in FY 1991,
increased to US$3.7
billion in FY 1997, and thereafter declined to US$1.1 billion in FY 2003. A
similar trend is
evident in World Bank figures for Pakistan’s external balance on goods and
services, with a
deficit of US$691 million in 1970, US$3.1 billion in 1990, and US$444 million in
2003.
Balance of Payments: Data vary by source, and from 1993 to 2004 government
institutions did
not report relevant statistics according to International Monetary Fund
guidelines for member
states. However, it is clear that Pakistan has had balance of payments
difficulties for decades,
largely as a result of current account deficits ranging from US$750 million to
US$2.7 billion
from 1970 to 2001. Historically, current account deficits have been due to trade
deficits.
However, from 2002 to 2004 current account surpluses ranged from US$1.9
billion to US$4.2
billion as trade deficits declined and private transfers increased—particularly
remittances from
Pakistanis working outside the country. As a result of balance of payments
problems, the official
currency, the rupee, often has declined in value, and the government frequently
has had to
reschedule debt payments and resort to high-interest emergency borrowing.
External Debt: Estimates of the size of Pakistan’s external debt vary by source.
However,
observers generally believe that the combination of poor tax administration,
high government
expenditures, and heavy dependence on external funds has resulted in massive
fiscal deficits that,
at times, have nearly crippled the economy and rendered Pakistan one of the
world’s most
indebted countries. When the United States and international lending agencies
imposed sanctions
after Pakistan’s 1998 nuclear tests, the country was close to defaulting on
external obligations.
According to the World Bank and the State Bank of Pakistan, Pakistan’s total
external debt was
approximately US$3.4 billion in 1970, US$9.9 billion in 1980, US$20.6 billion in
1990, and
US$36.1 billion in 2003 (about 52.6 percent of the gross domestic product).
Foreign Investment: Since the 1980s, the government has introduced reforms to
attract foreign
investment. Foreign investment has increased over time, but corruption, civil
disorder, and
occasional international economic sanctions have acted as major disincentives to
investment.
According to World Bank figures, foreign direct investment (FDI) in Pakistan
increased from
US$23 million in 1970 to US$612 million in 2003 (approximately 1 percent of the
2003 FDI in
China). From 2000 to 2003, FDI increased in finance, transport, communications,
mining,
quarrying, oil, and gas, with the principal sources being Switzerland, the
United States, the
United Arab Emirates, and the United Kingdom.
Foreign Aid: The economy is heavily dependent on bilateral and multilateral aid,
which
substantially influence economic growth. Aid flows have been reduced as a result
of
international sanctions for Pakistan’s suspected support of insurgents in
Kashmir and for the
country’s 1998 nuclear tests. However, after September 11, 2001, the United
States and other
countries dropped economic sanctions against Pakistan because of its potential
role in the war on
terrorism. Prior to 2000, Pakistan had never completed an International Monetary
Fund (IMF)
lending program because of government unwillingness to comply with loan package
conditions
and political issues such as nuclear weapons tests or difficulties in Kashmir.
However, from 2000
to 2004 Pakistan’s relations with the IMF showed marked improvement.
Currency and Exchange Rate: For decades Pakistan’s official currency, the rupee
(Rs), has
declined in value against the U.S. dollar. The official exchange rate was Rs4.76
to US$1 in 1970,
Rs9.85 to US$1 in 1980, Rs21.61 to US$1 in 1990, Rs53.65 to US$1 in 2000, and
approximately
Rs59.34 to US$1 in late February 2005.
Fiscal Year: July 1 to June 30. TRANSPORTATION AND TELECOMMUNICATIONS
Overview: Pakistan’s transportation infrastructure has suffered from government
neglect.
Although there are some signs of improvement, foreign observers often contend
that the poor
transportation infrastructure inhibits economic growth potential. Both the
quality and quantity of
government-funded rail and bus service have declined, and in some cases
operations have ceased
altogether. As a result, private buses, taxis, autorickshaws, and horse-drawn
tongas meet most
urban transportation demand. These vehicles are unregulated, and safety issues
abound. Various
government programs have attempted to improve transportation through highway
construction
and automobile imports, but these endeavors have been costly, and highway
capacity is
substantially underutilized. Statistics show an increase in freight and
passenger traffic on roads,
but the increase is believed to be due to the declining quality of rail service
rather than to the
increasing affordability of automobiles. Studies cite significant, accompanying
problems with
vehicular pollution, increasing traffic density, and high numbers of traffic
fatalities.
By contrast, Pakistan’s telecommunications infrastructure has fared somewhat
better, although
the government’s periodic control of communications industries is believed to
have limited
service improvements. Legislation in 1991 encouraged private-sector
participation in
communications services by privatizing state-run communications providers and
licensing
communications provision. However, 1995 legislation granted the publicly traded
Pakistan
Telecommunication Company Limited (PTCL) a monopoly over telephone services. In
2003 the
government announced that telecommunications would be deregulated, yet the
results of this
change were not yet apparent by early 2005.
Roads: Roads, road traffic, and motor vehicles all have increased substantially
since the early
1990s. According to government statistics, from 1994 to 2003 total road length
increased from
196,877 to 251,845 kilometers, and highways increased, from 104,001 to 151,028
kilometers.
The total number of registered motor vehicles also increased from 3.5 million to
5.2 million,
including 2.5 million motorcycles, 1.3 million automobiles, and 178,000 trucks.
In the early
1990s, the government announced plans to shift passenger and freight traffic
from roads to rail,
but by 2004 the declining quality and quantity of rail service continued to
prompt increases in
private and commercial use of roads.
Railroads: The railroad system is publicly owned, but government funding has
been insufficient
to maintain the system. Government figures indicate that operating revenues
exceeded operating
expenses from FY 1994 to FY 2003, but the deterioration in the quantity and
quality of service
suggests that major problems persist. From 1994 to 2003, the quantity of track
kilometers fell
from 8,775 to 7,791 kilometers, and route kilometers dropped from 12,625 to
11,515 kilometers.
Of the track kilometers, 7,346 kilometers were 1.676-millimeter gauge, and 445
kilometers were
1.000-millimeter gauge. Passenger journeys peaked at 85 million in FY 1989 and
declined until
FY 1999, after which they increased to 72.4 million in FY 2003. Freight tonnage
fell from 8
million tons in FY 1994 to 6.2 million tons in FY 2003. In the same period, the
number of
locomotives decreased from 676 to 577, and the quantity of coaches fell from
2,831 to 1,843.
Since 1992, various privatization ventures have been terminated and placed back
on the market,
and the federal government has attempted to transfer responsibility for some
rail services to local
and provincial authorities. Urban and suburban passenger rail service is
often irregular and
slower than road transport, but the government plans to build passenger rail
systems in Karachi,
Lahore, Islamabad, and Rawalpindi. A proposed rail line connecting Pakistan with
Iran has been
stalled because of a lack of funding.
Ports: According to government statistics, the tonnage handled by ports
increased from 30
million tons in FY 1994 to 41.2 million tons in FY 2003. In the same period, the
number of
twenty-foot-equivalent-units (TEUs) increased from 409,670 to 615,826. In 2004
Pakistan had
two ports, Karachi and Port Qasim, both of which were upgraded in the 1990s.
Karachi handles
approximately 60 percent of import and export cargo and is linked by a daily
container train to
an inland terminal at Lahore. Port Qasim handles about 40 percent of import and
export cargo.
The first phase of a multipurpose port located at Gwadar on the Balochistan
coast was expected
to be operational in early 2005, with a second phase still under construction. A
deepwater port at
Keti Bandar, 100 kilometers southeast of Karachi, is planned as part of a
private power project.
Inland and Coastal Waterways: Inland water transport basically has been
nonexistent since the
nineteenth century, although there have been government proposals to change this
situation.
Bridges, irrigation systems, and seasonal changes in water availability limit
tremendously the
navigability of former inland waterways, particularly the Indus River system.
There is small-
scale use between Sukkur and Kalabagh on the Indus River, and Pakistani
government and
transportation analysts have considered inland water routes linking Port Qasim
with points on the
Indus. However, the technical feasibility of these proposals is doubtful, and
high capital costs
limit their economic feasibility.
Civil Aviation and Airports: Since the 1980s, the air network has expanded.
Pakistan has 50
airports with permanently surfaced runways. Karachi, Lahore, Peshawar, Quetta,
and Rawalpindi
handle both international passenger and cargo flights, and Multan and Turbat
handle
international cargo. The airports in Karachi and Lahore have expanded their
facilities since 1994.
From FY 1994 to FY 2003, international passengers increased from 4.1 million to
5.1 million,
and international cargo increased slightly from 1.1 million tons to 1.2 million
tons. In the same
time period, however, domestic passengers declined from 9.1 million to 5.5
million, and
domestic cargo fell from 243,000 tons to 187,000 tons. The major international
airline is
government-owned Pakistan International Airlines, and four other private
airlines offer
international passenger and cargo services. Pakistan International Airlines
flights to New Delhi
beginning in January 2004 have been viewed as a sign of improved relations
between India and
Pakistan.
Pipelines: In 2004 Pakistan had 9,945 kilometers of gas pipelines and 1,821
kilometers of oil
pipelines. The government currently is considering several proposed gas
pipelines linking
Pakistan with Afghanistan, India, Iran, Turkmenistan, and others. As of early
2005, these
proposals were still under consideration, at least partly because their proposed
routes would go
through areas of periodic civil unrest.
Telecommunications: From 1991 to 2002, the estimated number of radios increased
only
slightly from 10 to 10.2 million, and the estimated number of televisions was
unchanged at 2.1
million. The government runs both Azad Kashmir Radio, with three stations, and
Pakistan Broadcasting Corporation, with 35 stations. Three private radio
stations also are in operation.
Government-run Pakistan Television Corporation maintains four domestic
television channels,
and there are three private television broadcasters. Foreign channels are
available by satellite and
cable. Domestic phone service is poor. In the early 2000s, Pakistan had
approximately 3.7
million telephones, 8 million cellular telephones, 600,000 personal computers,
and 500,000
Internet users.
GOVERNMENT AND POLITICS
Government Overview: The government is based on the much-amended constitution of
1973,
which was suspended twice (in 1977 and 1999) and reinstated twice (in 1985 and
2002).
According to the constitution, Pakistan is a federal parliamentary system with a
president as head
of state and a prime minister as head of government. The legislature, or
parliament, is the Majlis-
i-Shoora (Council of Advisers), consisting of the Lower House, which is often
called the
National Assembly, and the Upper House, or Senate. National Assembly members are
directly
elected for five-year terms. Senate members are elected by provincial
assemblies, with equal
representation from each of the four provinces as well as representatives from
the Federally
Administered Tribal Areas and Islamabad Capital Territory. Both the Senate and
National
Assembly may initiate and pass legislation, but only the National Assembly can
approve federal
budgets and finance bills. However, parliament often has had little real
political power. For
example, in 2003 the only bill passed by the National Assembly was the national
budget.
Executive power lies with the prime minister and president. The prime minister
is an elected
member of the National Assembly and is the leader of the National Assembly’s
dominant party
or coalition. However, the prime minister also is appointed formally by the
president. The prime
minister is assisted by a cabinet of ministers who are appointed by the
president on the prime
minister’s advice. An electoral college composed of members of the national and
provincial
legislatures elects the president for a five-year term, and no individual may
hold the office for
more than two consecutive terms. By law the president must be a Muslim. The
president acts on
the advice of the prime minister but has the power to prevent passage of
non-finance bills and
may dissolve the National Assembly if he concludes that the government cannot
operate
according to the constitution. The Senate, however, cannot be suspended.
Politics in Pakistan often have not operated according to the constitution. The
military and Civil
Service of Pakistan (CSP) frequently have been the preeminent actors in the
country’s power
structure, and in 1999 General Pervez Musharraf assumed power in a military
coup. Moreover,
there has been some concern that Pakistan could become a “failed state” because
of the apparent
inability of any single entity to control the country, the weakened productivity
of a population
beset by years of economic difficulties, and continuing problems of communal
conflict and
terrorism. Ethnic and provincial tensions often are manifested in rivalries
between political
parties, and several governments have been ended by assassination or military
coup rather than
by formal, electoral change.
Religion has played an important role in politics, and religious differences
have been very salient
in Pakistani government and civil society. The government has consistently been
faced with tensions of whether and how to synthesize Islamic principles into an
essentially secular and
Western form of government. Religious differences among politically influential
actors have
become increasingly prominent since the early 1980s, when politics became more
religiously
oriented under the rule of General Zia ul-Haq (1977–88). As religious groups’
access to
government resources increased, groups competed for political resources and the
capacity to
promote their approach to Islam, and sectarian divisions often became violent.
Administrative Divisions: Pakistan has four provinces—Balochistan, North-West
Frontier
Province, Punjab, and Sindh—and numerous federally administered areas.
Provincial boundaries
correspond with areas of numerically dominant linguistic groups, and provinces
are divided into
a total of 26 divisions that are further subdivided into 101 districts.
Federally administered areas
include the capital (Islamabad) and 13 Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATAs)
as well as
the western third of Jammu and Kashmir, although Kashmir’s status is contested
by India.
Provincial and Local Government: Each province has a governor appointed by the
president,
and provinces also have an elected legislative assembly and a chief minister who
is the leader of
the legislative assembly’s majority party or coalition. The chief minister is
assisted by a council
of ministers chosen by the chief minister and formally approved by the governor.
Federally
administered areas also have their own legislative entities, which have had less
autonomy from
the federal government than provincial legislatures. However, tribal areas in
the west have
traditional legal systems that operate independently of the federal government.
Various regimes
have promoted local-level Basic Democracies so that communities can have input
into federal
policy, but these entities have suffered from inconsistent federal government
support.
Although provinces and federally administered areas have their own political and
administrative
institutions, federal government agencies are heavily involved in the affairs of
these areas. There
are some matters over which both federal and provincial governments can make
laws and
establish departments for their execution. For example, provincial governments
administer
agricultural and social services, but the federal government legislates on these
matters, and
federal agencies also are involved in their administration. Moreover, the
federal government has
the power to dismiss provincial chief ministers and legislatures.
Judicial and Legal System: The legal system is derived from English common law
and is based
on the much-amended 1973 constitution and Islamic law (sharia). The Supreme
Court, provincial
high courts, and other courts have jurisdiction over criminal and civil issues.
The president
appoints the Supreme Court’s chief justice and formally approves other Supreme
Court justices
as well as provincial high court judges on the advice of the chief justice. The
Supreme Court has
original, appellate, and advisory jurisdiction, and high courts have original
and appellate
jurisdiction. The Federal Shariat Court determines whether laws are consistent
with Islamic
injunctions. Special courts and tribunals hear particular types of cases, such
as drugs, commerce,
and terrorism. Pakistan’s penal code has limited jurisdiction in tribal areas,
where law is largely
derived from tribal customs.
The 1973 constitution guarantees freedom of speech, press, and religion as well
as the right to
bail, counsel, habeas corpus, representation, appeal, and numerous other
protections. However,
the government has constitutional authority to limit civil liberties in
accordance with Islamic doctrine, national security, and other circumstances.
Pakistani courts can impose the death
penalty, and some crimes are punishable by stoning, lashing, or amputation,
although these
punishments rarely occur outside of tribal areas. The judiciary has limited
independence from the
executive branch, and the legislative and executive branches often attempt to
remove themselves
from judicial oversight. The judiciary also suffers from low public credibility,
large case
backlogs, corruption, and a lack of resources. In 2001, however, the Asian
Development Bank
pledged US$350 million for judicial reform and improved governance.
Electoral System: Pakistan has universal adult suffrage, and those 18 years of
age and older are
eligible to vote. As of early 2005, there were 72 million registered voters. The
minimum age of
candidates is 25 years of age for national and provincial assemblies, 30 for the
Senate, and 45 for
president. The president sets election dates, and the Election Commission (EC)
conducts national
and provincial assembly elections, but the EC’s chair, the chief election
commissioner, oversees
elections for local governments, the Senate, and the presidency. The EC is an
independent,
financially autonomous body, but it has been criticized as having little power
to enforce codes of
conduct on political parties and candidates. Constituencies are demarcated by
population,
administrative boundaries, and other factors. In 2002 there were 357
constituencies for the
National Assembly and 728 constituencies for provincial assemblies. Sixty seats
in the National
Assembly and 128 in the provincial assemblies are reserved for women. In
addition, 10 seats in
the National Assembly and 23 in the provincial assemblies are reserved for
non-Muslims. In
April 2002, Musharraf’s term as president was extended for five years in a
national referendum.
Elections were held for the national and provincial assemblies in October 2002
and for the
Senate in February 2003. However, domestic and international observers have
criticized these
and earlier elections as flawed.
Politics and Political Parties: Political parties have increased in number but
declined in
political power, particularly in relation to the military. Since the late 1990s,
numerous parties
have splintered into factions, dividing electoral support and leading to the
formation of coalitions
that often also dissolve into factions. The three parties with the greatest
electoral support since
1988 all have become shadows of their former selves. The Pakistan People’s Party
(PPP) and
Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz Sharif (PML-N) have splintered into numerous
parties, and the
Muttahida Quami Movement (MQM) has lost substantial legitimacy as a result of
involvement in
violence. Officially, 73 parties contested the 2002 National Assembly elections,
but only 3
percent of voters were registered as members of a political party. As a result
of elections in 2002,
a coalition led by the Pakistan Muslim League-Quaid-e-Azam (PML-Q) assumed
control of
provincial assemblies in Punjab and Sindh and the National Assembly. This party
has been
closely associated with the government of General Musharraf. Parties often have
no
constitutions, membership lists, or documentation of funding sources.
Furthermore, electoral
support is rarely nationwide and most often is drawn from particular religious,
ethnic, or regional
bases. The military has given financial support to religious parties as a
counterweight to secular
parties, but electoral support for religious parties has been well below 10
percent nationwide.
Many parties have separate wings for women and youth, and many are accused of
having militias
that collect funds and intimidate opponents.
Mass Media: In the early twenty-first century, the amount of print media in
Pakistan declined
precipitously while total circulation increased. From 1994 to 1997, the total
number of daily, monthly, and other publications increased from 3,242 to 4,455
but had dropped to just 945 by
2003 with most of the decline occurring in Punjab Province. However, from 1994
to 2003 total
print circulation increased substantially, particularly for dailies (3 million
to 6.2 million). Print
media are published in 11 languages, but most are published in Urdu and Sindhi,
and English-
language publications are numerous. The press generally publishes free from
censorship and has
played an active role in national elections, but journalists often exercise
self-censorship as a
result of arrests and intimidation by government and societal actors. Most print
media are
privately owned, but the government controls the National Press Trust, a major
newspaper
publisher, and the Associated Press of Pakistan, one of the two major news
agencies. The
constitution guarantees the rights of free speech and press but also allows for
government
restrictions in cases of offenses against Islam, public morality, national
security, and other
circumstances. In fact, the government can fine and imprison those who broadcast
material that
is deemed inconsistent with “national and social values.”
Foreign Relations: Pakistan’s primary foreign policy objectives are protection
from external
threats and the preservation of territorial integrity. Foreign alliances often
have been based on
mutual—and sometimes ephemeral—strategic interests. Contentious relations with
India
dominate foreign relations and are largely due to perennial tensions over
Kashmir, which was the
basis of wars in 1948, 1965, 1971, and 1999. Various talks in 2003–5 have eased
tensions but not
mutual suspicions. China has perhaps been Pakistan’s most consistent ally
because of shared
antipathies of other countries, such as India and Russia, but in the 1990s China
assumed a more
distant relationship as a result of India’s growing military prowess, Russia’s
military decline, and
other factors. However, China is alleged to have supplied Pakistan with nuclear
weapons
material, ostensibly to counter India’s nuclear weapons. Relations with
Afghanistan have been
harmonious and tense, often simultaneously. The two countries have a disputed
border, but
Pakistan supported insurgents in Afghanistan against Soviet occupation in the
1980s and was a
key ally of the Taliban in the 1990s. Since their 1971 war, Pakistan and
Bangladesh typically
have had close ties based largely on shared opposition to India. Relations with
Islamic Middle
Eastern countries generally have been close, but ties with largely Shia Iran
have been strained.
For countries outside South Asia and the Middle East, relations generally are
based on Pakistan’s
perceived strategic value in the international system. Pakistan’s successful
nuclear tests in 1998
initially led to international sanctions that were later eased as a result of
concerns that an
economically weakened Pakistan might provide nuclear material to other nations.
After
September 11, 2001, the United States and other countries saw Pakistan as an
important ally in
fighting international terrorists operating in Afghanistan, and international
aid increased
substantially. Pakistan’s relations with the United States have resumed the
closeness of the
1980s. However, Pakistan’s improved relations with the United States have had
important
ramifications for the government’s domestic support, particularly among some
religious parties
who perceive the government as acting against Islamic injunctions.
Membership in International Organizations: Pakistan is an active participant in
international
organizations, although its membership in the British Commonwealth of Nations
was suspended
from 1999 to 2004 because of the military coup. Pakistan views international
organizations as a
means of addressing the actions of relatively stronger countries and often
appeals to international
organizations such as the United Nations (UN) on matters such as Kashmir.
Pakistan’s international memberships include: the Asian Development Bank,
Colombo Plan,
Economic Cooperation Organization, Food and Agriculture Organization of the
United Nations,
Group of 24, Group of 77, International Atomic Energy Agency, International Bank
for
Reconstruction and Development, International Chamber of Commerce, International
Civil
Aviation Organization, International Confederation of Free Trade Unions,
International Criminal
Police Organization, International Development Association, Islamic Development
Bank,
International Finance Corporation, International Federation of Red Cross and Red
Crescent
Societies, International Fund for Agricultural Development, International
Hydrographic
Organization, International Labour Organization, International Maritime
Organization,
International Monetary Fund, International Olympic Committee, International
Organization for
Migration, International Organization for Standardization, International
Telecommunication
Union, Nonaligned Movement, Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical
Weapons,
Organization of American States (observer), Organization of the Islamic
Conference, Permanent
Court of Arbitration, South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation, UN, UN
Conference on
Trade and Development, UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization, UN
High
Commissioner for Refugees, UN Industrial Development Organization, UN Institute
for Training
and Research, UN Security Council (temporary), Universal Postal Union, World
Confederation
of Labor, World Customs Organization, World Federation of Trade Unions, World
Health
Organization, World Intellectual Property Organization, World Meteorological
Organization,
World Tourism Organization, and World Trade Organization.
Major International Treaties: Pakistan is a signatory to various international
treaties including:
the Basel Convention on the Control of Transboundary Movements of Hazardous
Substances,
Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention, Chemical Weapons Convention, Convention
on
Biological Diversity, Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of
Wild Flora
and Fauna, Convention on the Physical Protection of Nuclear Material, Convention
on the
Prevention of Marine Pollution by Dumping Wastes and Other Matter, Convention on
the
Prohibition of Military or Any Other Hostile Use of Environmental Modification
Techniques,
Convention on Wetlands of International Importance Especially as Waterfowl
Habitat,
International Plant Protection Convention, Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations
(UN)
Framework Convention on Climate Change, Montreal Protocol on Substances that
Deplete the
Ozone Layer, Nuclear Safety Convention, Protocol of 1978 Relating to the
International
Convention for the Prevention of Pollution from Ships, UN Convention on the Law
of the Sea,
UN Convention to Combat Desertification, UN Framework Convention on Climate
Change, and
Vienna Convention for the Protection of the Ozone Layer.
Pakistan has signed but not ratified the Convention on Fishing and Conservation
of Living
Resources of the High Seas. It is not a party to either the Treaty on the
Non-Proliferation of
Nuclear Weapons (NPT) or the Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR). Pakistan
has
argued that the NPT and MTCR are not relevant to the country’s security concerns
because they
do not reduce nuclear weapons proliferation by states already possessing nuclear
weapons, and
they deny non-nuclear states the right to have nuclear weapons.
NATIONAL SECURITY
Armed Forces Overview: The military is formally called the Pakistan Armed
Forces, and as of
2004 consisted of approximately 619,000 active personnel in the army (550,000),
air force
(45,000), and navy (24,000), as well as 513,000 reserves. Under the 1973
constitution, the
federal government controls the armed forces, and the president is the commander
in chief. The
Ministry of Defence has a permanent staff of civil servants headed by the
defense secretary
general, and the minister of defense is a civilian member of the prime
minister’s cabinet. The
Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee deals with problems concerning military aspects
of state security
and is charged with integrating and coordinating the army, navy, and air force.
The committee’s
secretariat acts as the principal link between the service headquarters and the
Ministry of
Defence. The Directorate for Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) is of particular
importance at the
joint services level because it manages covert operations outside of Pakistan
(and in
internationally disputed areas) and because it has been involved in domestic
politics, usually to
keep track of the incumbent regime’s opponents. The chief of the army staff (COAS)
is the key
power holder in the armed forces and is also one of the triumvirate that runs
the country, along
with the prime minister and president. The COAS usually operates from army
headquarters in
Rawalpindi. General Pervez Musharraf acts as both president and COAS. Musharraf
also heads a
National Security Council composed of politicians and senior military officers.
Under the constitution, the military is responsible for defending the nation
against external
aggression and threats of war and is to aid civil authorities only when called
to do so. The
military is forbidden constitutionally from acting independently of the elected
political
leadership in domestic matters. However, from 1947 to 2004 military generals
have acted as
head of state for nearly 30 years, and in times of civilian government the armed
forces have
routinely intervened on domestic and foreign policy issues. The military
justifies its consistent
involvement in politics as protection from malign foreign interests and corrupt
and incompetent
politicians. Although public opinion surveys are rare, it appears that the
public dislikes military
rule, yet consistently has a more favorable view of the military than of elected
officials.
Because the military conducts its affairs with carefully defended secrecy, the
degree to which
army officers and personnel are religiously motivated is debated. However,
Western analysts
tend to conclude that whereas the military increasingly sees itself as serving
Islam, the
institution’s decision making is still largely secular. Military intervention in
politics is designed
to limit civilian involvement in sensitive matters, such as Kashmir, nuclear
disarmament, internal
military personnel decisions, and defense spending. The military also is
extensively involved in
the economy, and military enterprises produce approximately 3 percent of the
gross national
product. Military enterprises include the Army Welfare Trust (AWT), whose assets
include the
Askari Bank, one of the country’s largest financial institutions, and the Fauji
Foundation, which
is the country’s biggest conglomerate. These and other military financial
institutions often are
exempt from taxes and regulations covering the manufacturing sector and asset
disclosure.
With regard to military strategy, the military’s budget and personnel have
reduced strategy to
largely defensive objectives, such as limited offensive tactics in bordering
areas (particularly
Kashmir), use of irregular forces, and deterring and countering possible attacks
from foreign
powers (particularly India). The military’s history of far lower military
expenditures and capabilities than India has prompted the military to attempt to
impose high costs on India to force
its withdrawal from Kashmir. Furthermore, the military hopes that its nuclear
capabilities can
reduce the disadvantages of its conventional forces. However, the theoretical
deterrence between
nuclear powers has not limited military engagement between India and Pakistan—as
exemplified
by the 1999 Kargil War—and analysts believe that Pakistan’s military strategy
historically has
suffered from overly optimistic assessments of potential success and
underestimations of
diplomatic and military losses, as well as a lack of contingency planning.
Foreign Military Relations: Pakistan has sought to become an important actor in
international
politics, but its foreign military alliances often are intended to address
matters with bordering
countries. Other countries have established alliances with Pakistan to address
their own strategic
interests in South and Central Asia, and these alliances have tended to be
ephemeral. Pakistan’s
military relationship with China started in the 1970s as a way of countering
India, but China has
softened its relations since India’s military strength has increased. Still,
Pakistan and China
maintain a military relationship, including periodic joint military exercises.
United States aid in
the 1980s was significantly reduced after the Soviet Union pulled out of
Afghanistan in 1989 but
resumed after the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks. Moreover, in March 2004
the United
States granted Pakistan status as a major non-North Atlantic Treaty Organization
ally, which
provides access to U.S. military equipment and cooperation. In fact, the United
States is one of
the largest suppliers of military equipment to Pakistan along with China and
Russia. Pakistan’s
military relations with India have been contentious, and the two countries
fought a limited
conflict in Kashmir in 1999. However, under the 1999 Lahore Agreement the two
countries
provide each other with advance notification of missile tests, and in 2003 and
2004 they engaged
in several high-level discussions that have eased tensions.
External Threat: The military and public generally view India as the nation’s
primary security
threat, and opposition to India is often a greater source of social cohesion
than either Islam or
Urdu. India’s far greater military capabilities have been a source of both fear
and frustration, and
many suspect that this imbalance has prompted Pakistan to engage Indian forces
indirectly
through supporting insurgents morally, financially, or otherwise. Whether
Pakistan has done so
is debated, but it seems clear that the country’s newly demonstrated nuclear
capabilities have
helped level military differences with its rival neighbor. Yet India is not the
country’s only
security concern, as Pakhtun and Balochi irredentist movements in Pakistan’s
western provinces
have contributed to sometimes-tense relations with neighboring Afghanistan.
Defense Budget: According to World Bank figures for 1988 to 2003, Pakistan’s
military
expenditures represented 25–29 percent of central government expenditures and
6–7 percent of
gross national income. In fiscal year (FY) 2004, military expenditures
constituted 18 percent of
government expenditures. Historically, Pakistan’s governments have used defense
spending to
stimulate economic growth.
Major Military Units: The army, with 550,000 active personnel and 500,000
reserves, is
organized into nine corps located at Bahawalpur, Gujranwala, Karachi, Lahore,
Mangla, Multan,
Peshawar, Quetta, and Rawalpindi. The Northern Area Command is headquartered at
Gilgit and
is directly responsible to army general headquarters. The army has 2 armored
divisions, 19
infantry divisions including 1 area command, 9 corps artillery brigades, 26
independent brigades (7 armored, 1 mechanized, 6 infantry, 5 artillery, and 7
engineer), 3 armored reconnaissance
regiments, 1 special forces group, and 1 air defense command. The navy has
24,000 active
personnel—including 1,400 marines and 2,000 in the Maritime Security Agency—and
5,000
reserves. The navy has four commands: fleet, logistics, naval installations in
the north of
Pakistan, and fleet headquarters at Karachi, the nation’s only major naval base.
Two bases are
under construction at Gwadar and Ormara. The air force has 45,000 active
personnel and 8,000
reserves. Air force headquarters in Rawalpindi has directorates for operations,
electronics,
administration, and maintenance. The air force has three regional air commands:
Northern (in
Peshawar), Central (Sargodha), and Southern (Faisal).
Major Military Equipment: In 2004 the army had an estimated 2,461 tanks, 1,146
armored
personnel carriers, 1,829 tube-launched optically-tracked wire-guided “TOW”
missiles, 260 self-
propelled artillery, 52 multiple rocket launchers, 2,350 mortars, 165
surface-to-surface missiles,
10,500 antitank guided weapons, and 1,900 air defense guns. The army also had 80
observation
aircraft, 45 liaison aircraft, 2 survey aircraft, 22 attack helicopters, and 131
transport helicopters.
The navy had 8 anti-surface warfare submarines, 3 inshore submarines, 7
frigates, 6 missile craft,
3 coastal patrol craft, 6 combat aircraft, and 9 armed helicopters. The air
force had 415 combat
aircraft and no armed helicopters. Pakistan became a nuclear state in 1998 and
periodically tests
nuclear-capable short- and medium-range missiles.
Military Service: Military service is voluntary, and active-service personnel
are liable for duty
eight years after active service ends. Officers are obligated to serve until 50
years of age, other
ranks until 45 years of age. Women serve in the military but are a numerical
minority.
Paramilitary Forces: The central government (specifically the Ministry of
Interior) controls the
coast guard, paramilitary forces, and numerous specialized police agencies, such
as the Federal
Investigative Agency and railroad and airport police forces. However, provincial
governments
organize paramilitary forces, which often act as an extension of the army to
assist provincial
police in internal security matters. In addition, senior government officials
often have strong
control over security forces and have at times established personal security
forces. The largest
paramilitary organization is the 185,000-member National Guard, which comprises
the National
Cadet Corps, the Women Guards, and the Janbaz Force. The Frontier Corps
reportedly has
65,000 members and is responsible for Balochistan and the North-West Frontier
Province. The
Pakistan Rangers has 35,000 to 40,000 members and deals with unrest in Punjab.
The Northern
Light Infantry has an estimated 12,000 members, and the Maritime Security
Agency, which is
under the navy’s direction, has an estimated 2,000 personnel.
Foreign Military Forces: Pakistan hosts 45 military observers from nine
countries stationed in
Jammu and Kashmir under the United Nations Military Observer Group in India and
Pakistan
(UNMOGIP). U.S. military forces occasionally work with Pakistan’s military
against insurgents
supporting the Taliban and al Qaeda in areas of Pakistan bordering Afghanistan.
Military Forces Abroad: In 2004 Pakistan’s military participated in United
Nations
peacekeeping missions in Burundi, Côte d’Ivoire (9 personnel including 3
observers), the
Democratic Republic of the Congo (1,092 personnel including 26 observers), East
Timor (78
personnel including 5 observers), Georgia (8 observers), Liberia (2,762
personnel including 16 observers), Sierra Leone (3,865 personnel including 15
observers), Serbia and Montenegro (1
observer), and Western Sahara (7 observers).
Police: Provincial governments are charged with police administration in their
respective
jurisdictions, and provincial police forces operate independently. The federal
government is
largely uninvolved in provincial police administration but controls police in
federally
administered and tribal areas. The federal minister of interior supervises
police nationwide, and
the Police Service of Pakistan (PSP) selects, trains, and assigns senior
officers to provincial or
central government agencies. Although service in the PSP is competitive and well
paid, lower-
ranking police personnel often have far lower education, skills, and motivation.
Police often are
accused of routine extortion, violating civil liberties, and acting to preserve
the tenure of
government officials rather than the rule of law. The quantity of overall crime
and various types
of crime (such as murder and banditry) increased steadily from 1992 to 2003, and
the extensive
availability and use of automatic weapons in Pakistani society is often referred
to as the
“Kalashnikov Culture.” Furthermore, the population generally does not perceive
the police to be
effective against crime or publicly accountable.
Internal Security and Terrorism: Pakistan has numerous categories of terrorism
and internal
threats, with most insurgent groups identifying themselves as religious or
ethnic separatists.
Some political parties represent distinct religious and ethnic communities, and
rivalries among
these parties have been violent. Violence between religiously identified groups
is rarely based
solely on differing religious doctrines but rather the different social,
political, and economic
statuses that correlate with religion. Some Islamic militias have connections to
the Taliban and al
Qaeda, which was linked to two assassination attempts on President Musharraf in
December
2003. Militant organizations have some influence on Pakistan’s foreign policy,
and militants in
Pakistan (such as Harkat-ul-Ansar) have assisted militant organizations in
countries whose
governments are perceived as oppressing Muslims. There are also concerns that
Pakistan’s
nuclear arsenal could be seized by insurgents in an event such as a coup or
assassination of the
nation’s president. However, the government claims that it has enacted security
measures to
prevent such a threat and that the numerical and political superiority of
religious moderates over
religious extremists is a substantial obstacle to the latter’s access to
Pakistan’s nuclear weapons.
The most significant violence between religious groups is between Islamic
militias, the Shia
militia Sipah-e-Mohammed Pakistan (SMP, “Army of Mohammed”) and the Sunni
militias
Sipah-e-Sahaba Pakistan (SSP, “Army of the Friends of the Prophet”) and
Lashkar-e-Jhangvi
(LeJ, “Army of Jhangvi”). The violence has, at times, disrupted both civil order
and the
economies in areas of Sindh and Punjab provinces. The violence has resulted in
large part from
the influx of weapons and returning mujahideen from Afghanistan, as well as
financial support
from large landowners, drug lords, and some political parties. Tensions between
ethnic groups
often stem from perceptions that other ethnic groups dominate politics and
economics to the
detriment of minority ethnicities. The Muhajir Quami Movement (MQM) was involved
in
substantial conflict in the 1980s and early 1990s but has since been far more
quiescent as a result
of internal factionalism and an apparent lack of motivating doctrine. The only
other significant
ethnic violence involves secessionists in Balochistan, who contend that the
government is
appropriating the province’s mineral wealth while providing little economic
benefit in return.
There are also long-suspected connections of foreign-sponsored subversion,
such as Indian
support of Sindhi dissidents and Iranian ties to Shia and Balochi militants.
Human Rights: The government’s human rights record is generally regarded as poor
by
domestic and international observers, although there have been some improvements
since 2000.
Security forces use excessive and sometimes lethal force and are complicit in
extrajudicial
killings of civilians and suspected militants. The police and military have been
accused of
engaging in physical abuse, rape, and arbitrary arrest and detention,
particularly in areas of acute
conflict. Although the government has enacted measures to counter these
problems, abuses
continue. Furthermore, courts suffer from lack of funds, outside intervention,
and deep case
backlogs that lead to long trial delays and lengthy pretrial detentions. Many
observers inside and
outside Pakistan contend that Pakistan’s legal code is largely concerned with
crime, national
security, and domestic tranquility and less with the protection of individual
rights. Provincial and
local governments have arrested journalists and closed newspapers that report on
matters
perceived as socially offensive or critical of the government. Journalists also
have been victims
of violence and intimidation by various groups and individuals. In spite of
these difficulties, the
press publishes freely, although journalists often exercise self-restraint in
their writing. In 2002
citizens participated in elections for the National Assembly, but those
elections were criticized as
deeply flawed by domestic and international observers.
Societal actors also are responsible for human rights abuses. Violence by drug
lords and
sectarian militias claims numerous innocent lives, discrimination and violence
against women
are widespread, human trafficking is problematic, and debt slavery and bonded
labor persist. The
government often ignores abuses against children and religious minorities, and
government
institutions and some Muslim groups have persecuted non-Muslims and used some
laws as the
legal basis for doing so. The Blasphemy Law, for example, allows life
imprisonment or the death
penalty for contravening Islamic principles, but legislation was passed in
October 2004 to
eliminate misuse of the law. Furthermore, the social acceptance of many these
problems hinders
their eradication. One prominent example is honor killings (“karo kari”), which
are believed to
have accounted for more than 4,000 deaths from 1998 to 2003. Many view this
practice as
indicative of a feudal mentality and as an anathema to Islam, but others defend
the practice as a
means of punishing violators of cultural norms and view attempts to stop it to
as an assault on
cultural heritage.
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